Weekly Metals Market Brief

Week of Dec 29, 2025 → Jan 2, 2026

What mattered this week (trusted news & analyst themes)

  • Precious metals cooled after record runs: Gold and silver saw profit-taking as year-end liquidity thinned—moves were technical rather than fundamental.

  • Rates narrative still supportive: Markets continue to price 2026 rate cuts, a medium-term tailwind for gold, silver, and platinum.

  • Copper near record territory: Tight supply narratives and inventory concerns remain the dominant driver.

  • PGMs follow the complex: Platinum and palladium are tracking precious metals sentiment with added volatility from thinner markets.

Metal-by-metal: drivers & weekly posture

Gold

  • Driver: Rate-cut expectations + geopolitical hedging; short-term moves are technical.

  • Bias: Constructive medium-term; expect range trade / whipsaws near year-end.

  • Action: Buy pullbacks; trim or hedge into sharp rallies.

Silver

  • Driver: Momentum + industrial narrative, but positioning is crowded.

  • Action: Scale in/out; avoid chasing. Expect faster reversals than gold.

Platinum

  • Driver: Hybrid precious/industrial appeal; benefiting from broad metals strength.

  • Action: Favor pullbacks; partial profit-taking into strength.

Palladium

  • Driver: Headline-sensitive; smaller, choppier market.

  • Action: Trade smaller size; levels > macro opinions.

Copper

  • Driver: Structural supply tightness.

  • Action: End-users ladder buys; investors consider hedging near highs.

Key events next week (can move metals via USD/rates)

  • Tue: FOMC Minutes (rate expectations → gold/silver reaction)

  • Wed: Jobless claims (risk sentiment)

  • Fri: ISM Manufacturing PMI (growth vs safety impulse)

Recommended Trade Setup — GC (Gold Futures)

Source: Patrick Assalone
FOR GC PIT SESSION ONLY

How to use this plan

  1. Identify the open type (Gap Up, Gap Down, or In Balance).

  2. Execute only at listed levels in the stated direction.

  3. Target is fixed for all setups; manage risk via size and discipline.

  4. Best results typically come from the first clean test of a level.

Reference Levels

  • 4476.30 — PIT SESSION HIGH

  • 4319.90 — PIT SESSION LOW

If GC Opens GAP UP → Look SHORT below

  • 4476.30

  • 4466.10

  • 4451.30

  • 4441.20

  • 4424.80

  • 4407.40

  • 4375.90

  • 4365.20

  • 4532.30

Target for entries: 4347.40

If GC Opens GAP DOWN → Look LONG above

  • 4319.90

  • 4333.20

Target for entries: 4347.40

If GC Opens IN BALANCE (within yesterday’s range) → Look SHORT below

  • 4319.90

  • 4301.50

  • 4286.60

  • 4279.00

  • 4270.90

If GC Opens IN BALANCE (within yesterday’s range) → Look LONG above

  • 4476.30

  • 4490.60

  • 4501.40

  • 4517.90

  • 4526.90

  • 4543.10

Weekly course of action (quick read)

  • Gold: Trade levels, not headlines; GC PIT setup favored in thin liquidity.

  • Silver: High-volatility environment—scale trades.

  • Platinum/Palladium: Opportunistic only; keep size light.

  • Copper: Respect record-area pricing; hedge or ladder exposure.“Did You Know?” — Metals Investing Insight

Did You Know? — A Unique Advantage of Metals Investing

Did you know that precious metals are one of the few asset classes with no counterparty risk when held physically?

  • When you own physical gold, silver, platinum, or palladium, there is no issuer, borrower, or balance sheet on the other side of your investment.

  • Stocks depend on corporate performance, bonds depend on a borrower’s ability to repay, and even bank deposits rely on the solvency of financial institutions.

  • Physical metals do not default, go bankrupt, or require a promise to pay—their value is intrinsic and globally recognized.

Why this matters to investors

  • In periods of financial stress, banking instability, or sovereign debt concerns, assets with counterparty risk can be frozen, restructured, or impaired.

  • Physical metals held outright (or through a properly structured, allocated storage program) remain outside the financial system, making them a powerful portfolio hedge against systemic risk.

Important distinction

  • This advantage applies to allocated physical metals, not synthetic or paper substitutes that may introduce counterparties (such as certain derivatives or unallocated accounts).

Reminder: This information is educational only and not investment advice. Always review custody, storage, and ownership structure details with your financial professional to ensure the investment aligns with your objectives and risk tolerance.

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